Saturday, July 21, 2007

Police (In)Efficiency

Paper trail
Here on BOM we have always doubted claims that our £17bn pa police are efficient. The latest report into police funding from the Home Affairs Select Committee spells out precisely why we are right to be sceptical.

First, there's the issue of how they've spent all the extra money they've been given. According to the Report, between 1996-97 and 2006-07, police funding increased by 40% in real terms. Which means in today's money they have something like an extra £7bn pa to spend (about £300 per household).

We taxpayers imagined they were going to spend it on more cops for our lawless streets. Have they? Have they hell. Here are the numbers:

As we can see, since 1997, the number of police officers has increased by just 11% - only one-quarter of the increase in money. The man from Association of Chief Police Officers - the ironically named Dr Brain (no, really) - explained to the Committee:

"The investment has not been blindly spent on additional officers but has been wisely invested across a range of initiatives so as to maximise the return in relation to service performance."

Oh yeah? Like what?

Er... Airwave.

Airwave? That's that wildly overpriced police mobile phone system (see this blog), isn't it? Yup, that's the one.

And quite apart from the simple issue of police numbers, there's the issue of how they spend their time. For example, the Committee produced this shocking summary of the time spent on paperwork:

But although 20% of their time is spent on paperwork, the government actually counts most of that as "frontline policing". As the Committee drily observes, that "skews the statistics and gives an exaggerated impression of the Government’s success in returning police officers to street duties."

You might want to remember that next time some minister brags about how much more police time is being spent on "the frontline". It probably just means even more paperwork is being processed.

Then there's the whole issue of the widely touted fall in crime. One big problem there (as we blogged here) is that although some crimes have fallen, the serious crimes we really worry about haven't. Moreover, much of the overall fall has had nothing to do with the police. As the Committee notes:

"In the case of both vehicle crime and burglary, improvements in security—far more than any government action—have probably been a significant contributor to overall falls...

Excluding successes on burglary and vehicle theft, there has been a more mixed picture in tackling overall crime, particularly given the increase in resources available to the police. For example, between 2002–03 and 2005–06 violent crime as measured by the police recorded crime statistics showed a 21% increase..."

The Committee also highlights the inconvenient (for the police) fact that the big decline in British Crime Survey crime came before the surge in police budgets:

"The significant drop in overall BCS-measured crime occurred between 1995 and 2001, with crime levels remaining roughly stable, or only slightly decreasing, between 2001 and 2006... It is striking that much of the decrease in overall crime rates over the past ten years occurred before the major increase in investment." (para 20)

And then there are those wretched tractor production targets. The police boast that production has never been higher. They told the Committee:

"The numbers of offences brought to justice (OBTJ), the key government crime reduction target, “have increased by 20% (from 1998–99 to 2005–06)” and that there has been “an increase of 6% in the number of OBTJ per police officer over the same period”.

The trouble is that much of this apparent achievement relates to petty offences. The Committee noted:

"The Government’s key crime reduction target, ‘offences brought to justice’, is not a good indicator of success in relation to the types of crime which the public fear most.

Performance against the target improved by 20% between 1998–99 and 2005–06. However, in the twelve months to March 2006 a large proportion (38%) of offences brought to justice were made up of petty offences in the form of warnings, Cautions and Penalty Notices for Disorder, and only 53% comprised convictions. There is a strong case for excluding summary justice measures from this target." (para 30)

So that's yet another useless- and probably counterproductive- top-down target.

The blunt truth is that neither the government nor the police have any idea whether they're delivering value. And frankly, they don't really care. As the Committee observes:

"On the basis of the data currently available, it is difficult to assess how effectively the increased spending on the police in recent years has been deployed. The Home Office, ACPO and APA have not yet developed mechanisms to collect or analyse information in any comprehensive way to assess the productivity and cost-effectiveness of the police service."

One more reson why we need to remove responsibility for policing from central government and return it to local communities.

PS As we've blogged many times, the police often seem to use their expensive resources in some pretty unproductive activities. For example, on Thursday, four forces mounted a massive operation on the Severn Bridge. A local BOM correspondent reports:

"200 police officers spent the day watching all 80,000 vehicles crossing the two Severn bridges, using number plate recognition technology. They were supported by immigration officers, vehicle inspectors, etc, etc - at least 50 supporters.

But they only stopped about 150 vehicles. So the tally is 3/4 of a vehicle stop per police officer. My guess is that it cost over £1,000 per stop."

And the final result? Just 19 arrests, for "breach of bail, theft of motor vehicle, possession of class A drugs, being in possession of an offensive weapon and fraud".

200 officers from four forces. A whole day. Just 19 ragbag arrests.

True, it got on BBC TV Points West, which may well have been the object of the exercise. But it's not what we pay our taxes for.

Closer to home, what should we make of the helicopter response to Tyler's lawn mower burglary? Very impressive, but a good use of resources? The Surrey chopper costs £1.8m pa to run, and 20 minutes after the event, there was never a cat's chance it was going to apprehend my burglar. It's supposedly instrumental in about 200 arrests pa, but round here people reckon its main purpose is to impress fretful punters like me. Plus, it sure beats doing more paperwork.


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